Wednesday, June 05, 2024

OPENAI INSIDER ESTIMATES 70 PERCENT CHANCE THAT AI WILL DESTROY OR CATASTROPHICALLY HARM HUMANITY - NOOR AL-SIBAI - the Byte

After former and current OpenAI employees released an open letter claiming they're being silenced against raising safety issues, one of the letter's signees made an even more terrifying prediction: that the odds AI will either destroy or catastrophically harm humankind are greater than a coin flip. Kokotajlo's spiciest claim to the newspaper, though, was that the chance AI will wreck humanity is around 70 percent — odds you wouldn't accept for any major life event, but that OpenAI and its ilk are barreling ahead with anyway. The term "p(doom)," which is AI-speak for the probability that AI will usher in doom for humankind, is the subject of constant controversy in the machine learning world.

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