Every day brings new breakthroughs in artificial intelligence—and new fears about the technology’s potential to trigger mass unemployment. CEOs predict white collar “bloodbaths.” Headlines warn of widespread job losses. With public anxiety growing, it can feel like the economy is already hemorrhaging jobs to AI. But what if, at least for now, the data are telling a different story? To find out, we measured how the labor market has changed since ChatGPT’s launch in November 2022. Specifically, we analyzed the change in the occupational mix across the labor market over the past 33 months. If generative AI technologies such as ChatGPT were automating jobs at scale, we would expect to see fewer workers employed in jobs at greatest risk of automation. Our data found the opposite.
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