Wednesday, July 01, 2026

The Next 5 Years: A Supersonic Tsunami - Peter H. Diamandis, Metatrends

Elon described the near future as a “supersonic tsunami”: a wave moving so fast and so large that by the time you hear it coming, it has already broken over you. The phrase stuck with me. So let me lay it out in detail, with the actual numbers, because I don’t think most people have any real sense of what the next 60 months hold. Buckle up. Start with the price of intelligence, because it is collapsing faster than anything in the history of technology. According to the Stanford AI Index, the cost of tokens dropped 280x collapse in 24 months. For frontier models, the price has been dropping about 10x every single year, from $20 to about $0.40 per million tokens. Not 10% cheaper. Ten times cheaper, annually.

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