Tuesday, August 05, 2025

"Superintelligence is Near! Three innovations that prove it! (I think Fast Takeoff just started!!)" - David Shapiro, YouTube

This podcast discusses the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, suggesting that we are on the cusp of superintelligence. The speaker highlights three key recent developments: a hierarchical reasoning model paper, Google DeepMind and OpenAI winning gold at the International Mathematical Olympiad, and breakthroughs in AI model architecture discovery. The speaker believes these advancements indicate the "bootstrapping of a new class of primitives" in AI, particularly leveraging reinforcement learning in ways that are not solely dependent on massive datasets. He emphasizes that progress is not hitting a wall; instead, new scaling laws and approaches are continually being discovered. The mastery of mathematics by AI is highlighted as crucial, as math underpins many other scientific and technological fields. The speaker posits that we are moving beyond Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) towards Artificial Superintelligence (ASI), which will be capable of solving problems intractable or even unsolvable for humans, predicting that models might achieve ASI thresholds very soon.

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